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WEEKLY TIP: Check your credit report annually for errors. (They are not uncommon.) Under federal law, you are entitled to a free annual credit reports from the big 3 credit reporting agencies (Equifax, Experian and TransUnion) each year. Last week’s riddle: I’m usually standing on a city sidewalk, and I’ll always stand by your car. But if you don’t feed me, you may get into trouble. What am I? Last week’s answer: A parking meter. |
January 30, 2012 “Judge each day not by the harvest you reap but by the seeds you plant.” - Robert Louis Stevenson ECONOMY GROWS 2.8% IN Q4 While this is the best GDP reading since Q2 2010, the initial estimate from the Bureau of Economic Analysis still disappointed the markets. Many economists and investors were looking for growth of 3.0% or better. The majority of the growth actually came from increased inventories. Consumer spending rose 2.0% last quarter, with auto sales being the biggest factor. Durable goods orders did see 3.0% growth in December, putting them 45% above the recession low hit in April 2009. DIPS IN NEW & PENDING HOME SALES The number of signed home sale contracts fell 3.5% in December, according to the National Association of Realtors. Separately, a Census Bureau report showed that new home sales declined 2.2% in December. MARQUEE SENTIMENT INDEX AT 11-MONTH PEAK
The Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment index ended January at 75.0. This was way up from December’s 69.9 mark, and it beat the 74.1 reading forecast by economists surveyed by Reuters. PRECIOUS METALS GAIN ALLURE
At Friday’s COMEX close, gold was +10.56% YTD, copper +13.18% YTD and silver +21.05% YTD. Crude futures finished last week at $99.56 per barrel on the NYMEX, putting oil merely at +0.74% YTD. (Retail gas prices were +3.67% for the month as of Friday.) A STRONG MONTH COMES TO A CLOSE With just a couple of trading days left, January is shaping up to be the best month for U.S. equities since October (see the YTD numbers below). Across last week, the S&P 500 rose 0.07% to 1,316.33 and the NASDAQ gained 1.07% to 2,816.55; the Dow slipped 0.47% to fall to 12,660.46.
|
% CHANGE |
Y-T-D |
1-YR CHG |
5-YR AVG |
10-YR AVG |
|
DJIA |
+3.63 |
+5.59 |
+0.28 |
+2.83 |
|
NASDAQ |
+8.11 |
+2.22 |
+3.13 |
+4.49 |
|
S&P 500 |
+4.67 |
+1.29 |
-1.49 |
+1.62 |
|
REAL YIELD |
1/27 RATE |
1 YR AGO |
5 YRS AGO |
10 YRS AGO |
|
10 YR TIPS |
-0.18% |
1.16% |
2.48% |
3.48% |
Sources: cnbc.com, bigcharts.com, treasury.gov, treasurydirect.gov - 1/27/12. Indices are unmanaged, do not incur fees or expenses, and cannot be invested into directly. These returns do not include dividends.
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This material was prepared by Peter Montoya Inc., and does not necessarily represent the views of the presenting Representative or the Representative’s Broker/Dealer. This information should not be construed as investment advice. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is a price-weighted index of 30 actively traded blue-chip stocks. The NASDAQ Composite Index is an unmanaged, market-weighted index of all over-the-counter common stocks traded on the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System. The Standard & Poor's 500 (S&P 500) is an unmanaged group of securities considered to be representative of the stock market in general. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. NYSE Group, Inc. (NYSE:NYX) operates two securities exchanges: the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) and NYSE Arca (formerly known as the Archipelago Exchange, or ArcaEx®, and the Pacific Exchange). NYSE Group is a leading provider of securities listing, trading and market data products and services. The New York Mercantile Exchange, Inc. (NYMEX) is the world's largest physical commodity futures exchange and the preeminent trading forum for energy and precious metals, with trading conducted through two divisions – the NYMEX Division, home to the energy, platinum, and palladium markets, and the COMEX Division, on which all other metals trade. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however we make no representation as to its completeness or accuracy. All economic and performance data is historical and not indicative of future results. Market indices discussed are unmanaged. Investors cannot invest in unmanaged indices. The publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting or other professional services. If other expert assistance is needed, the reader is advised to engage the services of a competent professional. Please consult your Financial Advisor for further information. Additional risks are associated with international investing, such as currency fluctuations, political and economic instability and differences in accounting standards. |